HDFC Bank Q2FY27 Results: Flat Margins Expected Amid Strong Loan Growth
HDFC Bank will announce its Q2FY27 results on Saturday, October 17, 2026, marking the first earnings release under new Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer Anup Bagchi. The bank’s business update for the September quarter highlighted a 16.3% year‑on‑year rise in gross advances to ₹32.19 lakh crore and a 16.8% increase in deposits to ₹31.66 lakh crore. Current account and savings account (CASA) deposits grew 10.7% year‑on‑year to ₹9.71 lakh crore, underscoring robust credit and deposit expansion during the period.
Analysts project that HDFC Bank’s net profit will see single‑digit growth, with a 1% to 3% rise to a range of ₹18,850 crore to ₹18,930 crore. The bank’s standalone net profit was ₹18,641 crore in Q2FY26 and ₹19,060 crore in the preceding quarter, indicating a modest decline. Net interest income (NII) is expected to climb 7% to 9% year‑on‑year, falling within ₹34,310 crore to ₹34,410 crore, up from ₹33,535 crore in the last quarter and ₹31,550 crore in Q2FY26.
Net interest margin (NIM) is likely to remain flat sequentially, with expectations of a weak margin outlook for the quarter. Investors will focus on management commentary regarding credit and deposit growth, margin trajectory, and key performance indicators such as NIM and gross and net non‑performing assets (NPAs). The market anticipates that the bank’s earnings will reflect the balance between loan growth and margin pressure in the current economic environment.
On Friday, October 16, HDFC Bank shares traded 0.5% higher at ₹729.3, after a year‑to‑date decline of over 26% driven by post‑merger margin pressure, corporate governance concerns and leadership changes. The stock has recovered from a low of ₹681 on September 10, climbing to a high of ₹825 in mid‑July before settling near ₹692 in early October, signalling easing selling pressure and a potential reversal of the downtrend.
Technical analysis shows the share price crossed both its 20‑day and 50‑day exponential moving averages (EMAs) on Thursday, closing at ₹726, the first time since late September. The 20‑day EMA remains below the 50‑day EMA, but the latter has stopped falling and is now flattening, suggesting a weakening downtrend. The Average Directional Index (ADX) sits at 14.3, indicating the stock has not yet entered a strong new trend.
Options market expectations place HDFC Bank’s price movement within a ±3.3% range by the October 27 expiry, roughly ₹704 to ₹752. This range aligns with the chart, with the upper end near ₹752 just above the ₹749 resistance that has capped the stock since August, and the lower end near ₹704 above the October low of ₹692. Historically, the stock has moved less than 3% on the day after results, with larger moves occurring over subsequent days, primarily on the downside.