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SHRIRAMFIN

Shriram Finance Shares Drop 6% as Q2 Results Highlight Asset Quality Concerns

Shriram Finance’s shares fell as much as 6.34% on Monday, October 26, reaching an intraday low of ₹810.20 per unit on the National Stock Exchange, compared with Friday’s closing price of ₹865. The decline followed the company’s second‑quarter results for FY27, which revealed strong growth in key earnings metrics but raised concerns over asset quality and rising credit costs. Investors reacted to the announcement of an interim dividend of ₹6.50 per equity share, a face value of ₹2, declared at 325% for FY27, with a record date of October 29 and payment on November 20.

In its regulatory filing, Shriram Finance reported a standalone profit after tax of ₹3,677.03 crore in Q2 FY27, up 59.37% year‑on‑year from ₹2,307.18 crore in Q2 FY26. Net interest income rose 38.20% YoY to ₹8,661.04 crore from ₹6,266.84 crore, while assets under management increased 16.96% YoY to ₹3.29 lakh crore from ₹2.81 lakh crore. These figures demonstrate robust operational performance despite the noted deterioration in asset quality.

The company’s gross non‑performing assets edged up by 1 basis point QoQ to 4.65% in the July‑September quarter of FY27, from 4.64% in the preceding period. Net non‑performing assets improved marginally, falling 2 bps QoQ to 2.31% from 4.64% in Q1 FY27. Analysts highlighted that the rise in provisions and credit costs could persist for another quarter or two, potentially causing the firm to miss its 2% credit cost guidance for FY27.

JP Morgan analysts described the Q2 results as mixed, noting that operating metrics such as net interest income and pre‑provisional operating profit beat estimates, yet asset quality trends disappointed. They cautioned that elevated credit costs, driven by agri‑stress from deficient rains in certain geographies, were not broad‑based and limited to select products. The management confirmed that the issue is temporary and linked to seasonality.

CITI analysts observed that Shriram Finance’s Q2 was in line with expectations, citing a sharper‑than‑expected net interest margin expansion to 9.52% from 9.04% QoQ, driven by accretive deployment of excess liquidity. They noted that the robust AUM growth, anchored by rebounds in gold, passenger vehicle, commercial vehicle, and MSME loans, was counterbalanced by elevated credit costs. The firm conservatively guided FY27 AUM growth at 15‑17% despite a 9% YTD rise.

HSBC analysts warned that emerging risks could weigh on stock performance, with higher credit costs impacting Q2 profit amid rising stage two and stage three assets across several segments. They suggested that improving net interest margin and operational efficiencies might be offset by high credit costs, leading to a curtailed growth target. HSBC increased its estimated earnings per share to 2.8‑6.5% for FY27‑29, reflecting the built‑up asset quality stress. As of October 26, Shriram Finance’s market capitalisation stood at ₹1.93 lakh crore on the NSE.